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18 June 2025,05:59
Daily Market Analysis
18 June 2025, 05:59
Key Takeaways:
*Middle East conflict intensifies, driving safe-haven and commodity flows
*Trump signals possible U.S. military action against Iran
*Ongoing Israeli strikes threaten Iranian oil infrastructure
*Oil markets react to rising supply disruption risks from a major OPEC producer
Global risk sentiment weakened significantly as tensions between Israel and Iran escalated, fueling concerns of broader military involvement, including the potential entry of the United States into the conflict. According to the Wall Street Journal, U.S. President Donald Trump has signaled a potential military strike on Iran and called for an unconditional surrender, stating that U.S. forces currently maintain total air superiority over Iran.
Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei reiterated a firm stance, declaring that Iran “will never compromise with Zionists.” Explosions have been reported across Tehran, with strikes continuing to target key locations, including oil and nuclear sites, as confirmed by Reuters.
Iran, the third-largest crude oil producer in OPEC, pumps around 3.3 million barrels per day. A disruption in Iranian output would significantly impact the oil market, though some analysts suggest that other OPEC members could partially offset the supply loss using spare capacity.
With the Middle East conflict intensifying, crude oil remains among the most sensitive asset classes, rallying on fears of prolonged supply disruptions and rising geopolitical premiums.
Crude Oil, H4:
Crude oil prices are trading higher and are now testing the resistance level of $73.70. Momentum indicators point to continued upside:
If prices successfully break above $73.70, the next key resistance lies at $78.00. However, failure to sustain above the current level may prompt a technical correction, with possible pullbacks toward $68.45 or $63.65.
Resistance level: 73.70, 78.00
Support level: 68.45, 63.65
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